The Road To Victory: Texas (Part Deux)

Part two of the DSCC’s video series on the coming Democratic victory in 2008 is out. In part 1 the DC videographer appeared in Fort Worth and starting asking around if anyone knew who John Cornyn was. It’s here if you missed it.

In part 2 of the series, she joins the Rick Noriega for US Senate campaign as they barnstorm around the state bringing the Democratic message to the voters.

Take a look.



Strangely silent at the first video from all I can see, up pipes reporter W. Gardner Selby (I always mistrust people who don’t like their first names enough to substitute it with an initial – what about “Butch” or “Skip"?) with a commentary. He has a running critique of the video here.

It’s a pretty laughable article, and you can get a pretty good idea of his fan club when you read the comments.

W. was first to jump on a Cornyn’s staffer’s observation on how Rick muffed the words to Deep in the Heart of Texas (or whatever the H E double hockey sticks that song is called). The thing that I can’t get my brain wrapped around is this: whether there is something, some cogent idea behind that remark. Is it that Rick is less of a Texan because of that? And when I think more of it, the lyrics make no sense either way you say them so what’s the big deal, anyway?

I’ll bet John Cornyn from here forward known as "JC", a baby boomer like me, doesn’t know the lyrics to the rock song that shaped our generation.

I’ll just bet.

Remember Louie, Louie?

Say, hey, JC, can you sing with me?

Ah Louie, Louie
Ohhh, no . . . JC’s gotta go
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah

Yes, it really goes like that.

Then our friend, W., goes after Rick because he stuffs a paper napkin into his shirt collar when he eats barbecue.

Now who is the true Texan, W.? How is one ever going to eat barbecue in public, especially when it is dripping with sauce, unless you stuff that napkin down your shirt? Or do reporters like to drip the sauce on their shirts so they have something to snack on later?

Heckfire, it makes it easy to wipe your fingers off if you have the napkin on your shirt – the way you’d do it at home – without a napkin.

More to the point: I’ll bet W., and John Cornyn for that matter, eat their barbecue with knives and forks.

And I’ll bet it goes right over their heads that I’ve just grossly insulted them.

Credibility Gap Widens as Gallup Poll Confirms What Americans Already Know

A Gallup poll that came out last Tuesday reveals something that most Americans already knew: they don’t know whether Hillary Clinton is a trustworthy person.

It’s here at their website, comparing American respondents’ opinions on the three remaining presidential candidates. Of the three only Hillary Clinton has fewer people rating her as honest and trustworthy than rate her otherwise. Sixty-seven percent of respondents see John McCain as a straight shooter, vs 27% not trusting him. This is closely shadowed by Obama’s rating over the same question by 63% favorable to 29% unfavorable. Clinton’s score: 44% favorable and 53% unfavorable.

Note also that the undecideds are 6% for McCain, 8% for Obama, but 3% for Clinton.

Now this goes beyond all the rule changing we keep hearing coming from the Clinton campaign. First that all the Florida and Michigan votes must count even though these votes are tainted by events coming on the heels of the DNC rules that excluded their delegates from the national convention. And now most recently that a far better statistic for superdelegates to decide upon is how many electoral votes each has won so far.

Clinton claims she has won 219 electoral votes, where Obama has gained only 202. This statistic, they are now saying, points to how much more electable Hillary Clinton is than Barack Obama.

In reality, Hillary Clinton has won zero (0) electoral votes. So has Obama. Electoral votes are cast between two candidtates from two parties, not the same one unless John McCain wants to throw in the towel now. It is ludicrous to say that the states Clinton won will not also be won by Obama in November. It is also ludicrous to count states that will inevitably go for McCain. The reasoning is specious and suspect.

I wouldn’t trust someone who gave me that line of reasoning with holding my place in line at the movies.

And now we are all treated, by the news media and You Tube, to the latest of Hillary Clinton’s whoppers. It’s that Bosnia trip again. Her recounting of it, always so consistent in the past, and tracking right along to what she wrote in her book, Living History has always gone something like this:

“Due to reports of snipers in the hills around the airstrip, we were forced to cut short an event on the tarmac with local children, though we did have time to meet them and their teachers and to learn how hard they had worked during the war to continue classes in any safe spot they could find”.

That can all be checked, you know, especially when there are so many eye witnesses. And on that incident, one that Clinton has recounted the same way time and time again, she recently added some twists that weren’t part of the narrative before.

And it makes her look really, really bad.

From You Tube:



Now this isn’t someone else spouting off opinions about things, someone that Barack Obama hasn’t any control over, someone who has no control over Barack Obama, these are the actual words of someone who wants to be president.

Words that turned out to be, in the words of her spin doctor, Howard Wolfson, not lies, not fibs, whoppers or gross exaggerations of the truth, none of that. “She misspoke,” said Wolfson.

Quite frankly, if there are those among us who are starting to wonder about these things, as I am, and haven’t voted in a primary yet, as I have, it is this sort of thing that I would be concentrating on: who you can trust to tell you the truth. God knows we've had enough of lies from the Executive Branch.

And if there are those who are starting to wonder about these things, and have already voted for Clinton in a primary, well maybe it’s time to wonder if you “misvoted”.

Jesus + Cheetos = Cheesus

It’s Easter and while the Easter Texas chili is smoldering in the crock pot, I looked left and right for an appropriate thing to write about. My first thought was to find a photograph of the Pillsbury Dough Boy, (aka Poppin’ Fresh) to put up with the title “He is Risen” but decided that might be too crass and insensitive.

Yes, even I have thoughts like that from time to time.

Then I happened across this obscure piece on Houston’s KHOU website. Apparently the youth minister at the Memorial Drive United Methodist Church, Steve Cragg, has stumbled across the latest religious apparition to make the news.

Shortly before beginning a recent Cheetos nosh, something stopped Steve from popping yet another Cheetos tasty morsel in his mouth and grinding it to insignificant bits of corn puff and cheesy powder. He stopped to examine its unique shape. From one side it looked like a cute two-legged dog. Turning it around, however, what should he find but an image of Jesus Christ himself stretching out his arms to his adoring masses.

Either that or, as one of Cragg’s students suggested, it kind of looks like Lieutenant Dan in the movie Forrest Gump.

Still and all, a religious apparition is just as good as its recognition, and this Cheeto bears an uncanny resemblance to the Savior of the world.

So be it.

In Cheesus’ name.

UPDATE: Cheesus has returned! Cheesus II: The Second Coming

“It’s 3 A.M.” Girl Says No to Fear Baiting Clinton Ad

She was interviewed a week or two ago. I saw it here. Teenaged Casey Knowles was filmed for some stock footage 8 years ago. She was the young girl sleeping peacefully in her room while the phone was ringing ominously. The Clinton campaign purchased that footage to be included in their now-infamous “It’s 3 A.M.” television ad that some say turned the tide for Hillary Clinton in Texas.

Interestingly, young Casey would have been blissfully ignorant of the ad, because while she lives in Washington, the ad played only in television spots in Texas and Ohio. Would have been, had it not been for Jon Stewart’s airing of a parody of the ad on his nightly cable television show “The Daily Show”. Then she saw it and immediately realized the irony that her image was being used in a fear mongering television ad, mainly because in the Washington caucuses, young Casey was a precinct captain for the Barack Obama campaign.

She also says that she is trying to be a delegate to the Democratic National Convention in August.

In an earlier interview, I saw that one, too, she joked about how maybe she and Obama could do an ad together, but the Obama campaign wasn’t joking when they called her to arrange a video spot for her.

And here it is. Released a couple of days ago on You Tube.



A lot of people are going to laugh this one off as an unfortunate or even a comical coincidence.

I think it’s a sign.

Bush Library at SMU to Take Out a La Madeleine

For reasons that eternally escape me, Texas’ Southern Methodist University wants to be the host of the George W. Bush Presidential Library. They have gone to some trouble to attract the Bush people, despite the fact that George Bush never attended the school, sticking to the Eastern Establishment’s prep and Ivy League schools.

Why not Yale, then? Heck George and Barbara paid enough money to get the boy through with a degree after all. Why not give him a library there?

Ah.

Not only has Yale been a big educator of great and not-so-great presidents, they actually have 19 presidential libraries in that they house the presidential papers of 19 presidents between George Washington and Woodrow Wilson.

Only since the presidency of that unforgettable president, Calvin Coolidge, have we built edifices just to house a single president’s presidential stuff.

There was even an early competition to get Dubya’s stuff on other campuses. Bayor thought they had it in the bag, being so close to Crawford, Texas. But alas, despite the fact that Baylor has acres after empty acres of university grounds on the banks of the Brazos River upon which to build a library, it was not to be. The Bush people wanted the library in a big city it seems, and SMU found itself alone in the bidding as an urban campus. The Bush people figured nobody would visit it if it were out in the country. Good point.

And therein lies the rub. SMU has no open acreage. The entire area is built up. Don’t believe me? Here is a Google Earth shot of the campus (click on it, it gets a little bigger). See that area in the lower right corner? That little strip next to the stadium? That area and the student housing behind it will be the future home of The George Dubya Bush Presidential Library.

Hey, maybe they’ll put a Starbucks on the corner – should be a killer location.

Unfortunately, all of those shops in that strip mall have got to go. They’re all built on university property anyway, so line up those bulldozers.

But wait, isn’t one of those establishments one of those cute boutique cafes called La Madeleine? Building Bush’s library is going to take out a La Madeleine? The infamy!

Local residents, upon hearing the news, are chiming in, in protest. From the Dallas Morning News:

“ ‘I'll be totally sick if I lose my cleaners, my La Madeleine, my drugstore, Horchow [Finale], even the bookstore,’ Highland Park resident Lori Collins, 57, said this week. ‘I love this strip.’ ”

This comes 4 years too late, you know. I wonder how many middle-aged white women would have withheld their vote for George Bush in 2004 had they known that he would be responsible for the obliteration of a La Madeleine café boutique?

It’s really still not too late. There is still another major city in the South (because you know the North will have nothing to do with this guy) where he can build his library. Ironically enough, the city I have in mind has lots and lots of open space, and has continued to have it, precisely because of George W. Bush. And I hear that land there, riverfront land no less, can still be had on the cheap.

My vote for the location of the George Dubya Bush Presidential “Liberry”? How about the 9th Ward of New Orleans, Louisiana?

LSU can sponsor it.

Geaux Tigers!

TX 22: A Study In Base Appeal

Coming off of yesterday’s post on how my superdelegate, Nick Lampson of Texas Congressional District 22, should cast his uncommitted vote for the Democratic presidential nominee, I decided to take a re-look at what the Dark Side is doing in their runoff race.

It made the KTRK news (ABC Houston), with the story’s news clip and text found here. The race is building in contentiousness as Republicans Shelley Sekula Gibbs and Pete Olson are in an elbow contest to convince the Republican base voters just who is the most conservative of the two.

“She’s a flip-flopper,” is what Pete Olson seems to be saying when he points to a Planned Parenthood questionnaire that exposes Sekula Gibbs as a flaming baby killer. When confronted with the fact that she was once “pro-choice”, Sekula Gibbs attests to a “conversion in [her] heart”, pointing to that part of her anatomy. This is just the right thing to say when appealing to the evangelical neoconservatives that form the base of Dark Side Republicanism in CD 22. A veritable “Come to Jesus” line if ever there was one.

“He’s a carpetbagger,” is what Sekula Gibbs seems to be saying when she points to the fact that Olson is “residence challenged”. Olson, who has family roots in the Bay Area, was sent to CD 22 by the Washington establishment to put up a strong and well-funded opposition to Sekula Gibbs, who put on quite an embarrassing show in her 3-week stint in Washington at the close of 2006.

“I've been here for over 20 years. I've raised my family here, paid taxes here. I have a small business here, medical practice in Webster for over 20 years, and I'm very committed. I have very deep roots in the community and he just got here about six months ago.”

Not that that wouldn’t be an easy charge to duck. It really surprises me that Olson hasn’t beaten Shelley over the head with the fact that one can’t very well live in-district for 20 or so years AND be a naval aviator. Yes, while Shelley was expressing her teenage patients’ blackheads in Houston, Pete Olson was flying a P-3C Orion off of carriers in the Persian Gulf, looking for enemy submarines.

Or something like that.

That notwithstanding, Shelley’s death grip on Olson thus far is his carpetbagger status, something that didn’t work very well against Nick Lampson in 2006, either.

So in the main, what is going to matter in this runoff election in April is not who has lived here longest, but who is the most conservative. Because that is what is going to rile up the faithful neoconservative voters who will go out to the polls during what is arguably an historic year for Democrats to retake the country. Only those who have not been disillusioned by their own party, the true hard core activist Republicans who have not, nor would ever, vote in a Democratic primary are going to show up at the Republican voting booths this April.

Contrast that to Nick Lampson. Nick is sitting in the catbird’s seat. Unopposed in the primary, Lampson did not have to appeal to the Democratic base, or any base for that matter. Nick’s center aisle politics allow him to throw bones to either side at will. While Olson and Sekula Gibbs confine themselves to the courting of the right wing extremists of the Republican Party in CD-22, Lampson can concentrate on his appeal to independents, centrists, and moderate Republicans and Democrats, leaving the left wing of the Democratic Party to watch on and participate, or not.

The one thing that gets in the way of all of this is presidential politics. As Miya Shay concludes in her piece, the one external thing that is going to affect this race in November, despite the outcome for Republicans in April, is what happens in the Democratic Party on the run-up to the convention. Who the Democratic presidential nominee is will play heavily in this race, as well as in other heavily contested toss-up districts across the country.

Which candidate will be of the most help to Nick Lampson to defeat his Republican opponent in November? Indeed, to help any Democratic candidate in a close election? We’ve all heard about “Hillary’s negatives”. About how a Hillary Clinton nomination will polarize the country and draw Republicans out of their holes and hides to vote straight Republican tickets in November. Clinton’s partisans have written that there is no proof that this scenario is valid, and up to a couple of weeks ago, I’d have given them points on that argument. But not after March 4th. Not after hearing about registration changes in Pennsylvania. Not after there is documentation that Republicans cross over to vote in Democratic primaries for two conflicting reasons: 1) to get rid of “the Clintons” forever by voting for Obama, or 2) to vote for the weaker of the two candidates, Clinton, in their view, to face John McCain in November.

This is solid evidence for an anti-Clinton backlash that is primed to strike in November, should Hillary Clinton defy the current math, and become the Democratic presidential nominee.

This is food for thought for superdelegate Nick Lampson. Does he appease the Democratic party moderates and opt for Clinton? Especially now that so many in the media are saying that Obama made the wrong “Wright decision”? In doing so, does he stack the deck against himself in November? Or does he go with the progressive wing’s Obama candidacy, a move that is also supported by voter preference in his own congressional district, after what can only be called an Obama oratory coup?

Fun times for Nick Lampson.

Which Candidate Will My Superdelegate Opt For?

It recently dawned on me when I thought about it, that I have only one superdelegate. Here in Texas, having a superdelegate is a rarity, and were it not for the fact that Nick Lampson is a Democrat in what is now most likely a toss-up congressional district, I wouldn’t have any at all.

So I was wondering today about which candidate my superdelegate was going to throw in with and could find no indications anywhere. Nick is doing the typical Nick thing: holding his cards close to his chest.

My superdelegate remains uncommitted.

The only comprehensive list of Texas superdelegates is the one assembled by Phillip Martin on BOR. Martin is BOR’s unofficial “data guy”. Although the list was posted in mid-February, he keeps it updated as news comes out. Another place to look for the superdelegate count everywhere is at this site.

According to both sites, my superdelegate, Nick Lampson is one of only two congressmen in the Texas Democratic delegation to Congress to remain uncommitted. The other one, not surprisingly, is Ciro Rodriguez, the guy who unseated Henry Bonilla in an upset after the boundaries to CD 23 were redrawn by order of the US Supreme Court. Nick and Ciro, you see, find themselves in similar situations.

So I thought I would help out my superdelegate, help him to make his decision. I went around looking for someone who has it all figured out and found this site. I try not to reinvent the wheel if it’s not necessary. The site appears to be put together by some college students, and I thought that was kind of cute. It really is nice to see the next generation getting involved. For a while there I was beginning to think that we would be running out of voters when the last one born of my baby boomer generation kicks the bucket, but now that doesn’t appear to be the case.

So according to that site, it looks like Nick should opt for Hillary Clinton. But then I read a little further and realized that not only do they have it wrong about Nick’s November opponent, something that is not actually decided yet (although I hope they have correctly called it for Shelley), they got it wrong in their conclusion that Hillary should get his vote because SD 11 went for Hillary Clinton by 57% to 42%.

SD 11?

SD 11 has some overlap with CD 22, but not overwhelmingly so.

So no, that wasn’t going to do it for me, but the idea intrigued me. The site appears to have a Hillary Clinton bias, yet also seems to have signed on to the notion that a superdelegate should cast his or her vote according to the predominant wishes of their constituents.

So to help Nick Lampson come to grips with this important decision, I knew what I had to do. I had to get out the precinct reports from all four counties that CD 22 occurs in, and find the presidential candidate totals for all of the precincts that had Nick Lampson on their ballot.

Sheesh.

That’s over 200 precincts spread over 4 counties. Still, someone has to do it, so here you go Nick. Here is what I came up with:

Fort Bend County: 25,812 for Obama, 18,209 for Clinton
Harris County: 13,650 for Obama, 17,501 for Clinton
Brazoria County: 7,170 for Obama, 4,948 for Clinton
Galveston County: 5,440 for Obama, 4,814 for Clinton

CD 22 Totals: 52,072 for Obama (53.4%), 45,472 for Clinton (46.6%)

I don’t know, Nick, seems pretty cut and dried. Three out of four counties can’t be wrong.

Did all of that just happen? Or was it my worst nightmare?

I dreamed that I went to a Democratic Party meeting in Texas last night. It can only a dream, however, because my memory of the dream, bordering on nightmare, makes me cringe here today, this morning.

I do distinctly remember getting a call yesterday from a friend telling me about a party meeting to be held that night, and I do distinctly remember telling someone that I was planning to go, but I must have fallen asleep in front of the TV instead of getting into my car and driving to the meeting.

How else do I explain these vivid dreams?

I must have been watching that movie that my daughter told me about and urged me to watch. We viewed it together a couple of times. That must be it.

How else to explain away the fact that I thought I attended a meeting with an agenda that could fit on half of a standard 8.5 by 11 inch sheet of paper (were it not for the double and triple spacing), but that lasted for nearly three and a half hours? How else to explain the utter chaos that was allowed to pervade through the room? A chaos that can only be traced back to leadership that cannot lead? Organization that cannot organize?

How else?

Really and truly, if the Democratic Party is actually to awaken in Texas there must be an uplifting. An uplifting in spirit. An uplifting in a sense of right and justice. An uplifting in a common sense of urgency if the cause of the Democratic Party should fail. An uplifting in the sure and certain knowledge of Robert's Rules of Order.

The blame must be shared, however, for any meeting that dissembles into chaos. Participants need to be educated in the process, take the time to know what they are about, what the rules are and what they are not. Part of my nightmare of this chaos must have, as a cause, the indifference of the clueless. This must be addressed because the people are starting to get interested in the process again, and the people must take responsibility to educate themselves in this process.

Otherwise all that will happen is a continuation of the status quo: Republican rule of Fort Bend County for now and into the future. My nightmare is that we have this tremendous opportunity as America awakens from its drugged Republican sleep, an opportunity to rise up and wrest the controls away from the forces of greed, malice and cronyism. Only to find that our leadership is so self-occupied in delirious self-satisfaction that their house of cards, so jealously guarded, remain intact, only to find that this house of cards is nothing but that.

I had that nightmare, and then I woke up this morning wondering if it all was really a dream or not. The scenes keep running through my mind, and it’s as if all I can recall are scenes like this:



Did all of that just happen? Or was it my worst nightmare?

Texas Democratic Party to Campaigns: Chill, We Have It Covered

Even though it will be two weeks ago tomorrow that Texas held its combination primary/caucus we have people still kicking up the dust here. The main thrust of it, although I am told that both campaigns have filed some complaints with the TDP, revolves around the “Mauro Letter”. The letter sent by Clinton’s Texas campaign chairman Garry Mauro, a former Texas Land Commissioner.

With threats of a lawsuit still hanging about, here comes Garry Mauro with a letter sent to the TDP that asks for a delay of the scheduled March 29th county conventions, a second of three steps in final allotment of Texas delegates for the Democratic National Convention.

The letter alleges irregularities in the caucus procedures, and asks for a delay of indeterminate weeks until credentials of all delegates can be verified. The Obama campaign responded that “we don't think that the record-breaking number of Texans who stood up to be counted on March 4 would appreciate the Clinton campaign's attempt to disenfranchise them and silence their votes just because the outcome wasn't politically beneficial to Sen. Clinton”.

With all that as prelude, out comes a statement today from TDP Chairman Boyd Richie telling everyone to just chill out, they have things in hand. Yes there was a record turn-out at the caucuses but that in and of itself should not be reason enough to halt the process. Here is what Richie wrote in today’s news release:

"The overwhelming majority of problems reported in Texas do not affect the legitimacy of delegate allocation. It is important to remember that the precinct conventions are just the first of three steps where delegates and alternates are selected. 'Final results' will not be determined until June 6-7 at the Texas Democratic State convention. And at each convention step, Texas Democratic Party rules provide a credentials process to address problems and provide an avenue to register complaints and make formal challenges"

"For that reason, the Texas Democratic Party will not do as suggested by one campaign and circumvent Party rules to set up an unnecessary, ad hoc “verification” process that could effectively disqualify delegates selected at their precinct conventions after the fact. The Party has never stated any intention to set up a verification process of this nature because Party rules already provide for “verification” through our credentials process. Candidates who wish to disqualify delegates must pursue formal challenges based on evidence filed appropriately in accordance with our party’s rules."

"The Texas Democratic Party plans to conduct our district and county conventions on March 29 and our June State Convention in accordance with procedures set forth in Texas law and party rules. Both campaigns have the opportunity and responsibility to do their jobs by documenting evidence, filing challenges if warranted, and turning out their delegates in a system that rewards such an effort when final delegate results are determined at the State Convention in June."

There’s this guy I know, an SDEC member who sits on the SDEC Rules Committee. This guy and a bunch of others worked tirelessly to produce a series of advisories that spell out the solutions to questions that the campaigns might have over this process. That and the existing TDP rules that are online for anyone to view should help to dispel these questions.

People don’t like to read instructions or rules. It goes against their nature, I think. Rather than read about the rules in place, the assumption is that there are no rules and people and campaigns can make them up as they go along.

Or help the TDP understand its own rules.

Or worse, if they don't like the rules they want to get out their red pencils and offer where changes can be made.

Or file lawsuits when it doesn’t look like they are going to win.

Now I know that I once wrote a piece about the campaigns coming to Texas after no resolution with Super Tuesday, and I was quite happy that they were going to spend those campaign dollars in the state that usually serves as a giant ATM (withdrawals only, mind you). And I would sure would like the campaign that ultimately succeeds in getting their candidate as the nominee to come back and help us with our downballot. Yes, we need their help, but not now. We need help later this year if we are going to begin the retake of Texas as a blue state.

But you know, for now, I sure would appreciate it if they all let us alone so we can work out our votes without all their “help”.

More Americans Care About Domestic Prices Than Iraq Casualties?

Watching the Sunday morning national news programs this morning, as is my habit, I was struck by something mentioned only in passing, that only 28% of Americans knew that nearly 4000 American soldiers have been killed since the Iraq War began, now just 5 years ago this Wednesday the 20th.

It’s true. Reported at CBS News, a recent Pew Poll of Americans finds that the Iraq War has been supplanted by other issues, domestic ones. The economy. The rise in the price of gasoline and the concomitant rise in the prices of the necessities of life.

Now I understand all of that. These things are close to us and affect our lives in the immediate sense. But look, we still have two wars still going on, one of them being fought for no other reason now than the fact that we started it. We have all of this, but the prices of gasoline and food have invaded our conscious sense of urgency.

72% of us are not aware of the fact that as of today, March 17th, nearly 4000 people have been killed in this war. 3988 Americans to be exact. 4296 total coalition lives to be exact. 4296 lives have been lost in Iraq since hostilities began.

And that’s just counting our combatants. Over 89,000 Iraqis have lost their lives in this conflict, including combatants and civilians.

This is good news for the people who started this war. This is good news for the Bush Regime. This is good news that the biggest military blunder in US history is being supplanted by the price of milk.

What we need to realize, I have finally concluded, is that it is all related. These people, these tens of thousands of people, all died because someone lied. They lied and everyone just went along. They created the war, and that created artificialities everywhere. The price of oil has been steadily climbing historically, but in all history there have been nothing like the price increases that have gone on since March 2003.

Since the Iraq War began.

Even in constant dollars, oil is now higher than it has ever been in history.

It’s all related. Some people die, others pay $4 for a gallon of milk or a gallon of gasoline. It’s all related, and the blame for it all goes squarely on the leaders in power right now.

These are the ones that need to be thrown out of office by Americans, voters who have had enough of their lies and deceit. Milk or blood, it makes no difference.

It’s all related.

The Road To Victory Texas

Now who the person is who made this YouTube video, I haven’t the faintest idea. But it looks like, along with the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, she smells a story brewing here in Texas. She flew out from DC to find out about Rick Noriega and his campaign to bring down Dubya’s head cheerleader and rubber stamp, Senator John Cornyn.

It looks like this is going to be at least a two-parter. Part One is all about the fact that no one knows who John Cornyn is. That is not such a reach considering the fact that the man has been in Washington for 6 years now and hasn’t done a single blasted thing for Texans so that the mere mention of his name could jar someone’s memory.



Victory is within our grasp. We need the same kind of turnout in November that we had in the primaries across the nation – a turnout brought about by a universal desire for change in our government.

We can do this. Check it out at Rick Noriega For Texas.

And DSCC, this is a good beginning. It looks like you are starting to get serious about our candidate. Who knows, maybe your calls to me asking for funding, and my refusals to that, based on my desire that anything I contribute to the Senate campaign be spent in Texas, are finally getting some legs.

On that last, though, I am characteristically pessimistic.

Is Clinton Appealing to the “Cracker Vote”?

I have to say, the events of the past few days have weighed heavily on how people perceive the Clinton campaign. I have wondered in the past how Hillary Clinton can be so nice and upbeat one day, and then come out the next day bellicose, and the next day in an attitude that can only be described as mocking. I have said it and heard it said, it’s almost as if Hillary Clinton has bipolar issues.

But we know that isn’t the case. We also know that the Clinton campaign has been fraught with infighting, and that has reflected back into the public with a candidate having, at best a bad hair day, and at worst, multiple personalities. Nothing can come close to conveying this sense of campaign implosion better than Keith Olbermann’s 12 March commentary on the Ferraro affair and beyond. In it, Olbermann doesn’t attack Clinton, he attacks her judgment in allowing things to go as far as they have, time and time again.

If you missed it, I highly recommend taking a listen. It’s over 9 minutes long but worth it.



Now, I put it to you this way. It’s either that Hillary Clinton has surrounded herself with some flaming incompetents who can’t put a consistent campaign face on, or it’s that the campaign has made a very cagey and considered move toward capturing the “Cracker Vote” in the upcoming Pennsylvania primary.

James Carville himself characterizes Pennsylvania as “Pitsburgh on one side, Philadelphia on the other and Alabama in between”. Alabama, being the white kind of Alabama, not the black kind. If this is what the Clinton campaign is trying to do, then it is a very well-considered ploy. Not particularly laudable, but well-considered nonetheless.

Is this a carefully many-fronted orchestrated effort to bring out the anti-black vote? If so, they are to be both congratulated for a brilliant and timely piece of campaign stratagem and at the same time condemned for stomping on the sensibilities of people who, through words and actions, work to bring our multi-racial nation together.

On the other hand, if this is all just because of a mismanaged campaign, with too many soldiers firing cannons into the deck, is this not a reflection on Hillary Clinton’s ability to lead? How will she lead an entire nation if she can’t even direct the people who work for her?

Frankly, I don’t know which is worse.

Lampson Signs Petition to Bring SAVE Act to the House Floor

Interesting, huh? Nick Lampson, our Democratic congressman from Texas CD 22 has announced that he is going to oppose House Democratic leadership and sign a “discharge petition” to bring the Secure America Through Verification and Enforcement Act of 2007 (SAVE Act) out of its 7 committee hearings and onto the floor of the House for an up or down vote.

To-date, the discharge petition, which can be viewed here, has been signed by 168 legislators, 161 of them Republicans, and 8 of them Democrats. A total of 218 signatures are needed to get a majority in the House and force the SAVE Act to the floor of the House.

Now what could be on our congressman’s mind?

I have heard Nick Lampson speak on immigration and border security a few times and this doesn’t sound like what he was talking about.

What I have heard Nick Lampson say was that if we would simply enforce the laws that were already on the books, this would be quite enough to stem the flow of illegal immigration into the country.

Instead, what we have before us in the SAVE Act (HR 4048) is a measure that would boost border security by 1) increasing border patrol personnel, 2) allowing the use of military equipment (?), and 3) providing additional border surveillance (aerial and remote) . There are other things, such as giving aid to Indian tribes whose reservations abut the border. One of the big things in SAVE is the so-called employer responsibility provisions. Employers will be held to account for hiring illegal aliens by verification of their identification papers.

That last bit gave me a clue on why Lampson is doing what he is doing.

I have also heard Nick Lampson say that any immigration reform act was not going to pass any time soon. I suspect that he includes this one as well. The reasons are two-fold:

1. Republicans love to wave the immigration red flag. Without it they have to talk about Iraq and the economy. The result is that they have whipped up this as a major fanatical issue that plucks the Mexican-hating heartstrings of Republican voters. With Nick not only co-sponsoring the SAVE Act, and signing the discharge petition, his fall opponent has little to beat his or her breast about with regard to his record on immigration.
2. As mentioned above, this act, or any other immigration act like it, doesn’t have a prayer of passing. Democrats oppose this on several different levels. Republicans, or some of them anyway, know that the employer accountability/verification portions of the bill will devastate some important, some say strategic, industries. Like agriculture. Like construction.

Yes, America’s economy, as it now stands, depends upon a dynamically porous border.

So here is what I am guessing why Lampson is backing this so vigorously: it can’t hurt because it hasn’t a snowball’s chance in H-E double hockey sticks of passing let alone getting to the House floor, and Nick gets on record as being in favor of something that 161 Republican co-signatories also favor.

Take that Dr. Sekula Gibbs. Have a nice day, Pete “Carpetbags” Olson.

Now, I just hope that I am right on this. . .

Unrepentant Geraldine Digs Heels In

If I hadn’t seen it with my own eyes and heard it with my own ears, I would have said that someone must have been misquoting the former vice-presidential nominee of the Democratic Party.

Geraldine Ferraro has been all over the news today, on Fox News where she serves as a sometime commentator, and on NBC Nightly News just a few minutes ago, trying to throw all of her guff back into the Obama campaign’s collective face.

Incidentally, she resigned today from her fundraising position on the Clinton campaign.

She says that she did that to keep get “this” out of the news.

Then she proceeded to put it all front and center stage in the news.

No?

Why then, does she persist in calling Barack Obama an Uppity Negro? It’s true. And it’s getting pretty embarrassing for me as a Democrat. Ferraro has, get this, told the news media that Barack Obama is “playing the race card” in his attacks on her.

Now wait wait wait. Did I hear this correct? It is Barack Obama that is bringing race into the discussion? By crying “Foul” Barack Obama is introducing divisiveness into the campaign?

I have to ask here, who brought all of this up to begin with? Who made the fantastic claim that Barack Obama, by his advantage as a black man, has done so well in the presidential race. The former congresswoman is delusional.

What planet was she born on?

Is it her claim then, that she can say these inflammatory things in the middle of a heated campaign, and that the Obama campaign cannot respond in protest because to do so would be “playing the race card”?

The problem is, there are some out there that are so emotionally caught up with the notion of having a woman as the next president that these words will sound reasonable and logical.

And for the first time in the 21st century, allowing a justification of a verbal racial attack on a black person by a white person.

Time to retire, Geraldine. As to your closing remarks on your Fox News appearance, my guess is that the Obama campaign will not be requiring your services either.

Is McCain a Natural (Born) Man?

Talk about tilting at windmills. There’s a guy in Riverside, California, Andrew Aames, who is acting for a group known as the “Inland Empire Voters” in filing a lawsuit in federal court that seeks declaratory relief in that they claim that John McCain is not a natural born United States citizen.

And apparently that case is going to be heard by a federal judge.

The suit makes the case that John McCain, a navy brat, was born on the US Naval base in the Canal Zone, which was then a US territory. As such, McCain is not a natural born citizen of the United States. Here is the relevant portion of the US Constitution:

“No person except a natural born citizen, or a citizen of the United States, at the time of the adoption of this Constitution, shall be eligible to the office of President,…”

Hogwash, says McCain’s lawyer Ted Olsen. If that were the case, he says, Barry Goldwater, a presidential candidate in 1964, would not have been eligible either since he was born in Arizona Territory before 1913, the year Arizona became a state. But the case makes a unique point that I find tantalizing:

“In 1953 Congress passed legislation, Title 8 Section 1403 of the United States Code specifying that those persons born in the Canal Zone with at least one US citizen parent, are [or become?], United States citizens.”

Taking a stab at what they mean by all of this, I am guessing that the thrust of this argument is that prior to 1953, people born in the Canal Zone were not necessarily US citizens, but this was remedied by this act of Congress in 1953. McCain, having been born in 1936 then, was not a natural born US citizen when he was born.

Meaning of course, he is still not a natural born citizen since by definition you are either one when you are born, or you are not.

I find all of this really interesting but not entirely useful unless it is for something to talk about to impress your date. Why do I say this? It’s something that McCain attorney Ted Olsen is quoted as saying in every news article you read about this, when asked whether his client would prevail in this lawsuit, makes this prediction:

“I am confident that the United States Supreme Court, should it ever address the issue, would agree” [with him].

Considering that the Supreme Court is even more conservative, and even more politicized than it was in 2000 when it crowned George II, this is a very good, and very final point.

Daily Breeze: Geraldine Ferraro Says Obama is Black!!!

I have to laugh. I remember the small hometown daily newspaper, The Daily Breeze when I used to live in Southern California. Now, from its interview of Geraldine Ferraro last Friday, the lowly, modest and undersized Daily Breeze has had its story splashed across the pages of newspapers from coast to coast and worldwide.

And according to the article, Geraldine Ferraro says Barack Obama is a black man.

You know, I really, honestly haven’t even thought about Obama’s ancestry lately. People keep bringing it up though. As in “Isn’t it wonderful and a comment on our times that we are choosing between a woman and an African-American?”

Apparently, Geraldine Ferraro doesn’t think it’s wonderful.

Her comment, picked up by anyone with an ear to the ground, went like this:

“If Obama was a white man, he would not be in this position. And if he was a woman (of any color), he would not be in this position. He happens to be very lucky to be who he is. And the country is caught up in the concept.”

Was this a woman, a former vice-presidential candidate, mind you, who was just being brutally honest – as she must be thinking in her mind – or a woman, a former vice presidential candidate (mind you) who thinks that Barack Obama is being just a little bit too uppity?

This is a guy who is taking advantage of the fact that he is black, and THAT’S why he’s ahead in the national polls, the popular vote, the delegate count, and the number of states won in the primaries?

You have GOT to be kidding.

I started to think about this, and thought that if anyone thinks Obama is at an advantage because he is black, they haven’t stepped too far outside the past few years. Like outside to Bubba’s filling station in East Texas, where the locals are pretty convinced that the South will someday rise again. Or to downtown Houston, Cleveland or Atlanta, where Barack Obama’s middle name is uttered as if it were a slur.

I hear that Senator Clinton has renounced Geraldine Ferraro’s remarks, remarks that Ferraro has even defended in today’s issue of The Breeze (as we used to call it). That’s fine but I think it’s not enough. I think it behooves the Clinton campaign to return every dollar that Geraldine Ferraro raised for the Clinton campaign to Ferraro, so that she can, in turn, return that money to the donors. I also think it is time to dismiss Ferraro from her campaign.

It really makes me wonder how many women over 50, white women, have entertained these thoughts as well. If we have someone who is allegedly sophisticated in their racial outlook, as I am sure Geraldine is, say something like this without batting an eyelash, you really have to wonder about what kind of subliminal thoughts are driving some voters toward the Clinton campaign.

Is it truly about Obama being a black man? Is it truly about something with a black man that still scares older white women?

I very much hope not, but I am characteristically pessimistic.

Clinton Superdelegate Spitzer Dips Pen in the Wrong Inkwell

Now it is beyond me to condemn a man for engaging the assistance of the world’s oldest service provider as this falls into the category of victimless crimes, but it appears that Democratic Governor Eliot Spitzer of New York has found himself on the hot seat. Earlier we had the revelation of another who engaged these intimate services, leading to the ultimate embarrassment of Louisiana Senator David Vitter, demonstrating that sexual intimacy, and having to pay for it, knows no political boundaries.

Interestingly enough, it was federal wiretapping or interception of various text messages, e-mails and telephone calls that nailed the governor. Not only did his service provider provide sensual stimulation assistance, but it appears that her organization was also involved in international money laundering. Something I’ll bet the governor was unaware of.

This can’t be of any help to Hillary Clinton’s campaign. There is lots of footage of Clinton on stage with Spitzer, giving praise to her state’s governor. Now I’ll bet that the Hillster didn’t know that the Spitzerster was an unrepentant satyrid. And on top of all of that, Spitzer is a well-known “Mr. Clean” who worked up to his present seat of power by spending 8 years upholding the laws of New York state as its Attorney General.

So, what should Hillary Clinton do? Continue to accept the endorsement of Superdelegate Spitzer? She forgave Bill for his dalliances after all. Or since these acts of Spitzer also involved the exchange of thousands of dollars, rather than a cigar, should she reject his support and call for his resignation, as a whole passel of Republicans are now doing or about to do?

Like I said, I neither praise nor condemn the New York governor. That these services are illegal in his state is more a reflection of local mores than his character. But here is the rub: when a politician engages in the services of one who practices the world’s oldest profession, it is well-advised that you not be one of those who practice the world’s second oldest profession.

In The Silly Season Straight Talk Goes South For the Summer

"Hilary Clinton has won states with about 260 electoral votes and Barack Obama has won states with about 190."

That’s what Pennsylvania governor Ed Rendell said this morning on “This Week”.

How can you argue against logic like that?

What, with only ten more electoral votes, we have a new president, right?

My question is this: How stupid do Governor Rendell and the Clinton campaign think we are? Some in my midst would have some disagreement with that statement but there are some things I think we can all figure out. Like how electoral votes are counted when you oppose a Republican, not another Democrat.

Stuff like that.

Does Governor Rendell, or any one in the Clinton campaign think that if Barack Obama is the Democratic nominee, that people who voted for Clinton in the primaries will not vote for Obama in the general election? Their alternative, need I remind anyone, is to vote for Ralph Nader or Darth McCain.

So of course not. The argument is completely specious. It lacks any credibility and makes people suspicious and resentful. People see through these arguments like glass.

So I have this problem with the Clinton campaign. They won’t talk straight. They make up stories. I am guessing that this is an effect of the “kitchen sink” phenomenon.

And speaking of straight talk, what is all this with the Florida governor? He was on the same ABC program this morning. In the interview Governor Crist , a Republican, had this to say about holding a new vote in Florida to determine the delegate distribution at the Democratic National Convention:

“They exercised that precious right. I think that the Democratic National Committee should come to the common-sense conclusion that the right thing to do is to honor that vote.”

Now one would think that the governor was saying this because he and his Republican friends don’t want to foot the bill for another primary, but no one has mentioned that they should. In fact, any mention of a "re-do" in Florida also comes with proposals that the election be either entirely privately funded, or funded by each of the campaigns. No, in truth the Republican governor was simply driving the thorn in the side of Democrats a little deeper – maybe giving it a twist in the process. And maybe, since the winner of that damaged primary was Clinton, giving Clinton 105 delegates, Obama 70 and Edwards 29, netting Clinton 35 additional delegates, that could do its work in overturning the Obama lead in delegates, creating furor in the party that opposes Republicans, and give Republicans an easy win in November.

Certainly the Clinton campaign sees this by now. Howard Dean is exactly right in this argument when he said:

“[T]he only thing that can beat us is that we're divided. I have to run these rules so that the losing side feels they've been treated fairly”

I have said this before. Americans have an abiding sense of fair play and will not abide a cheater or someone who has the rules changed in mid course so that they can win. Partisans won’t care. They are with the Clintons because their passions take them there. It’s the swing voters I worry about.

Without the swing voters, Clinton can kiss the White House goodbye forever.

Obama has time on his side, and only needs another 4 years to get him some of that there experience that the Clinton campaign thinks he lacks.

Whither Goest Fort Bend Now?

Has anyone been logging on to FortBendNow lately?

Yes, I have also and plan to go there again in maybe a couple of hours.

After I come back in from watching the grass grow.

Who Will You Vote For In The Runoff? Dale Henry or Mark Thompson?

Who?

Of all things, every Texas Democratic primary runoff ballot will have the runoff election for the Democratic Party’s nominee for State Railroad Commissioner.

What?

Railroad Commissioner. Oddly enough, well not really, this IS Texas after all, the Railroad Commissioner is less about railroads and more about oil and gas production. It’s one of those historic oddities that while, for instance, in California, all things dealing with petroleum in the state go through the California Division of Oil and Gas, all things dealing with petroleum in Texas go through the Railroad Commission. Like oil and gas production regulations. Like pipelines.

In some areas of the state, this will be the only runoff race on the April 8th election. Mark Thompson failed to get a 50% plus one majority in the primary, so will have to have a face off with 2nd placer Dale Henry.

Now I write about Mark Thompson as if anyone knows who this guy is, but no one I know has ever heard of him. I have not been able to find out why he nearly got the majority vote in the primary. Apparently Mark Thompson is a disabilities rights advocate, a therapist for blind children and an ex-policeman. That, plus a third spot on the Fort Bend County ballot got him over 48% of the vote.

Dale Henry, by contrast, is an old coot who is also a professional petroleum engineer. This is a guy who knows about the job and knows about the laws and regulations. He is very much an insider, having had professional dealings with the Railroad Commission.

Mark Thompson found himself embroiled in Railroad Commission politics when he complained about gas pipeline explosions resulting from faulty pipeline couplings and upon finding that the Railroad Commission’s enforcement letter was not being adhered to by energy companies, forced the Railroad Commission to order the changes be made.

Thompson’s campaign has been all about public advocacy, a corrupt Railroad Commission, and getting a safety issue enforced. Dale Henry’s campaign has been all about public service and a petroleum industry knowledge base.

So how does one vote in this? My thought is that some of Thompson’s success was due to the presidential primary, but that can’t be all of it. It’s possible that the voters who knew him trusted an outsider, a public advocate rather than an insider like Henry.

Or who knows, it could be because he has a long name as it appears on a ballot while the two other names are short. In the end, why a person votes the way they do for Railroad Commissioner eternally eludes me.

That notwithstanding, and despite the fact that I applaud Mark Thompson’s public advocacy, I have this feeling that if he succeeded in outpolling Michael Williams, his would-be Republican opponent in November, Mark Thompson would be a babe in the proverbial woods. Despite his record as a public advocate, which I admire, I question whether he would be able to work with the two other Republican commissioners. Whether he has the knowledge base to stay even with them.

While Dale Henry is very much an insider by comparison, I see no alternative than to advocate for him rather than Mark Thompson.

Now how will it go in April? I suspect very differently than on March 4th. In April you are going to see the die-hard Democrats at the polls, die-hards and activists, not just the some-time primary voters.

Especially if it is like it is going to be here in Fort Bend County, with, in some precincts, only that one race on the Democratic Party’s ballot.

Man, talk about anti-climactic. All I can say is that if Henry can’t pull it off here, something is wrong somewhere.

Delegate Derby: Texas Two Step and Michigan and Florida Keep Coming Up

I don’t know. After the Texas primary I thought we would all be moving on to the future. Some of us haven’t. Admittedly, one of us is me.

I’m still watching the Texas caucus numbers. Those numbers at the Texas Democratic Party’s website have not budged since last night. I suppose someone told someone else to stop updating the website with current numbers to keep the speculation down, although I think the cat is out of the bag on that. What I think we can lay it to is transparency inaction.

So the numbers jump around a bit. That’s going to happen. But for the first time there is a microscope focused on this race. So I guess it’s best for the TDP to turn off the light source.

If anyone has been paying attention, they are still counting the Tuesday night caucus results. These are not electronic ballots, nor can they be optically scanned, it is all done by hand counting. And there are some stories of caucus improprieties going around, mainly about camp A, with the stories being spread by camp B, if you get what I mean. With 48 and change percent of the caucus votes counted, it looks like Barack Obama won the Texas caucus by taking either 37 or 38 of the available 67 caucus votes. Right now he’s polling at about 56%.

But the bandwagon has moved on and everyone is now focused on Pennsylvania. The irony is that the big news is breaking here that Obama seems to be winning the Texas caucus and will have a majority of the Texas delegates at the national convention, but it’s all a big yawn now everywhere else but here.

“So what?” the Clinton camp says “Hillary won the popular vote in Texas”. I would counter that Texas has an open primary, anyone can vote for the Democratic candidates, Limbaugh ditto-heads included. The caucus is, I think, more pure. I doubt that many Republicans deigned to caucus with the Democrats. No, what we are seeing with the caucus vote is more of an indication of who will actually come out and vote for the Democratic candidate in the fall.

There are those that complain about the arcane Texas system. Especially now that it doesn’t look promising for the Hillary Clinton campaign. To this I would say this: “these are the rules that everyone agreed to, stop complaining”.

And that brings me to Florida and Michigan. Also past tense, but it keeps coming up in the present and I would hazard a guess that it will be a factor in the future if the Clinton campaign continue to press the issue, and I see no reason they won’t – pressing the point can only help Clinton’s numbers and hurt Obama’s. And a win’s a win, right?

It is if you want to leave a scorched earth all the way to the polls in November. Most people, I think, are not terribly political, but most of them are fair-minded, and have a sense of what is right.

One of the things about being in the right is obeying the rules. Florida and Michigan, two states that moved their primaries before Super Tuesday, were told that if they did this, their elected delegates would not be given a seat at the Democratic Convention. They went ahead anyway, and for the most part everyone ignored those races once it was made known that their results were moot. Now the Clinton campaign wants those delegates, and they are making vast but specious arguments for the seating of them.

I like data, and one thing I found in looking at the data is that while Florida was contested, in that Obama was actually on the ballot, and Michigan’s primary was not (by Obama), the numbers truly reflect this. Witness the turnout data. In every state where Obama and Clinton stood toe to toe, Democratic voters turned up at the polls in record numbers, some states had double and even triple the voters that usually show up in a primary. Now look at Florida. In their 2004 primary, 732,731 voters came to vote for the presidential nominee in the Democratic primary. Contrast this to 2008 where 1,749,920 voters showed. Now compare that to Michigan’s primary. In 2004, Democratic voter turnout at their primary was 1,384,200. In 2008, where only Clinton, Dodd, Gravel and Kucinich appeared on the ballot voter turnout was 594,400.

My point is, is that while Florida’s turnout numbers followed the rest of the country, Michigan actually had a reverse trend. FEWER voters showed up to vote in Michigan this year than in the 2004 primary. Clearly, this was not a valid sampling of the voters’ preference. And to press the point, you wonder what the Florida results would have been had the Obama campaign spent any time there exciting the crowds.

Now I admire the Clinton campaign for their bulldog stance in this: win at any price, get the delegates, just get them. And if I were in a snowball fight I sure would want the Clinton campaign on my side. But it’s not a snowball fight. We’re talking about the Presidency here. A presidency that has been cast in shadows for the past 2 terms. A presidency that has been arguably unfairly wrenched from the hands of Democrats in 2000, and possibly again in 2004.

We don’t need a continuation of this in 2008. I think Americans are tired of people not playing by the rules, or in the case of the Bush Regime, breaking the laws of the land.

Let the rules be applied. Let the candidates win or lose by the rules, not by circumvention of the rules. Haven’t we all had enough of this?

Texas CD 22: Runoffs Gone Wild

As anyone who pays attention already knew, the 10 little Republicans who crowded stage after stage this primary season battling for the Republican nomination for congressman in “The Fighting 22nd” have now been whittled down to the two everyone expected to get to a runoff: Shelley Sekula Gibbs and Pete Olson.

Surprises still abound though: Sekula Gibbs came in with a much weaker showing than I ever would have expected, getting only 16,681 votes or 29.72% of the vote. Olson did a little better than I expected, with 11,630 votes, or 20.72% of the vote.

Sekula Gibbs’ totals are the highest, in my opinion, because she is the candidate with built-in name recognition. Her write-in race against Nick Lampson in 2006 was all in the news. People had to learn how to activate the write-in utility of the Dial-A-Vote eSlate system that our county commissioners foisted upon Fort Bend County voters, then had to get her name spelled in some reasonable way so the elections officers could interpret “voter intent” (although to this day I still have trouble figuring out how they knew that the word “dragonc_ _ t ” meant Shelley).

Olson’s numbers are fairly high for someone who had nine fingers pointed at him with nine voices uttering the words “Stranger! Stranger!” all day. One can imagine that to these voters, that doesn’t matter so much. What mattered, I think, is that he wasn’t Shelley.

Because there’s that other newsy thing that I doubt many people have forgotten yet. The thing where Shelley won the special election, went to DC, moved into her office, took on Tom DeLay’s old staffers, waited for George and Dick to come and witness her swearing in, raised a fit when they didn’t show, had her entire staff walk out on her, and called for a congressional investigation about a standard housekeeping procedure.

Remember that? Well you can bet the DC guys that sent Pete Olson to tame this congressional district, a district that went maverick on them and elected a Democrat, hadn’t forgotten either, which is why they sent Pete in.

Upon first reflection, I am thinking that the low numbers that Shelley received are what I am starting to call the Obama/Limbaugh Effect. Rush ordered his ditto-heads to the polls in Texas and they cast their votes for Hillary Clinton. Other rightwing Republicans, maybe more fatalistic ones, rushed to the polls and voted for Obama so that they could finally get rid of Hillary Clinton once and for all (a Democrat was going to win, they said, they just didn’t want it to be Clinton). The net result is a loss of primary votes for wacky, wacky Shelley Sekula Gibbs, the neocon’s best friend.

Votes she can’t have back in the runoff, either, because they voted in the Democratic primary.

Putting, I fear, Pete Olson in the catbird seat. Now all Pete has to do is get the endorsements of his main rivals: John Manlove and Bob Talton. Dean Hrbacek was once a Sekula Gibbs cheerleader, so who knows what he will do?

With two endorsements and a much, much lower Republican turnout in the runoff, Olson is a real contender, so we ought to be seeing a real horse race here.

This upsets me a little, because I was looking for a good laugh and lots of entertainment from the GOPers who want to mount a campaign against “Liberal Lampson” (oh God I just WISH it were true). If Pete knocks Shelley out of the race, there goes the comedy.

On the bright side, if Pete Olson carries the day in the runoff, the Republicans will lose one of their biggest (and silliest) claims, that Nick Lampson is an outsider, a Beaumont carpet bagger.

Next to Olson, Nick Lampson is paisano.

Crunching The Numbers: Obama Wins Texas Delegates By 3?

It's crude and it is also premature, but then people say, so are my jokes. Here is how I have crunched the numbers on the Texas primary delegates and the caucus delegates. Subject to change if the winds shift (as we all know they are bound to do around here).

Primary Delegates for Obama: 61
Primary Delegates for Clinton: 65

Caucus Delegates for Obama: 37
Caucus Delegates for Clinton: 30

Total Texas Delegates for Obama: 98
Total Texas Delegates for Clinton: 95

As of now, Obama has a 3 delegate majority on the Texas delegation.

As I said, these are premature results based on a state-wide 46.67% precincts reporting.

UPDATES:

3/06 - With 48.27% of the caucus votes tallied, it looks like Clinton lost another delegate. It's now Obama with 38 of the caucus delegates, and Clinton with 29.

I actually thought it would go the other way . . . really. But we still have a long way to go and those desert tortoises that the TDP has working on this are going as fast as they can.

Rick Noriega is the Democratic Nominee for US Senate

Finishing with a bare majority in a 4-way race, Rick Noriega is now the Democratic nominee to take on junior senator John Cornyn of Texas in November. This means that there is a lot of work to do between now and November. It also means that Team Noriega did a more than excellent job of getting over a million statewide votes for a guy who is locally known in the Houston area. They are getting his name out in a big way.

Compare this to the 2006 primary when Clean Gene Kelly, danced with Barbara Ann Radnofsky into a runoff race that year. That was a typical low-turnout primary, and Kelly won a place in the runoff just by signing his famous name on the election filing form. That fame, however, did not belong to him, but to a corpse.

The Noriega campaign had some concern that the huge turnout would bring many voters to the booth who did not know Rick, or any of the other candidates for that matter. That concern was not unfounded, and Gene Kelly did poll the second highest numbers statewide, at 26.89%. Coming in third was Ray McMurrey, the Corpus Christi private school teacher.

That must be pretty humiliating coming in third place after a corpse.

But, hey, who knows? Maybe McMurrey will take a lesson from this experience and set his sights a little lower next time. Who knows, maybe some day McMurrey will run a strong race in a house district or something.

And I am bound to remember his name when that some day happens.

All the newspapers are saying that Rick faces an uphill battle in his run up against Republican John Cornyn. That Cornyn’s campaign has lots of money, you can count on. At last count he had some $7 million to spend to retain his seat. All I can say is that he better start getting that checkbook out. Once it gets out statewide and nationally that Texas has a strong candidate with an unbeatable Story to run against George Bush’s rubber stamp, to run against a senator who voted against our troops and veterans in several key funding bills that were set before the Senate, it is going to be like Christmas in July.

And I am ready for that snowball fight.

Why not help to start the old snowball rolling? I have a Rick Noriega donation icon in my lefthand sidebar, click on it and drop off an early Christmas present for John Cornyn. Or click on the snowball.

Or just click here.

My Night at the Caucus-Race

Well we here in southeast Texas got wet yesterday, but the storm roared through here to leave us all standing around looking at each other, dripping wet. Why not, we Texans agreed, have a caucus-race? After all, “the best thing to get us dry would be a Caucus-race”.

[For the literate readers out there, yes, you are right, that is a quote from Lewis Carroll’s Alice in Wonderland – Chapter 3]

So we did. I met a roomful of my fellow Democrats at my local elementary school’s gymnasium. I had no idea they had gymnasiums in elementary schools. The Republican convention was to meet in the school’s cafeteria. I was expecting to see 12 of us there – the 12 activists that keep showing up on the Texas VAN’s data dump for my precinct.

132 showed up instead. I figured no one would believe me so I took a photograph.

After sitting in chairs talking all of this over: surprise at the numbers to show up, amazement at the numbers of younger people taking an interest, the call went out for all to line up and register their presidential choice. The lines inched forward, and everyone was in a very good mood. One gentleman showed his registration card, saw that he was in the wrong place, and resigned himself to not voting, but was urged by those of us around him to find out where his convention was and go. He finally did.

Presenting my stamped registration card, I signed in and registered my vote, again, for Barack Obama. There were provisions for those who hadn’t gotten their cards stamped – they had to find their names on the rosters of those who had voted in the precinct.

We all got to vote.

I stood around afterward talking to a precinct worker. She had been there all day. She mentioned that the Democrats formed long lines in the morning, and Republicans at lunchtime ("...because they have longer lunch hours," she whispered). By evening, she said, several Republicans had heard about Rush Limbaugh’s exhortation for Texas Republicans to go vote for Hillary in order to “mess ‘em up” and showed up at the polls, giving each other high fives.

I told you they were crazy here in Fort Bend.

We all sat back down and elected a convention chair and secretary. Now I know that this is the critical time in the convention that has been discussed in the news and on the blogs, where conventions were going to be “taken over” by one camp or another. I am here to tell you that this didn’t happen in my precinct.

I feel confident of this because we had, at my precinct, two women with Obama T-shirts, the official ones, not the knock-offs, and buttons. They sat right down at the counting table with the chair and the secretary and made sure the count was fair.

I wonder if this is what they mean by Obama’s campaign being better at caucuses than Clinton’s?

The official count came down:

For Hillary Clinton: 61 votes
For Barack Obama: 71 votes

My precinct was allotted 16 delegates to the senate convention, meaning that Barack got 9 and Hillary got 7. They explained that it broke fractionally toward Obama the way the math and rounding went.

Then the room split into caucuses. I counted 12 go to the Obama caucus and decided it was time to go home. A senate caucus, while possibly historic this time around, isn’t really something I want to do.

So I left.

Making my way back to the car, I noticed that the Republican convention was going full swing in the school’s cafeteria: four old white men sitting at a cafeteria table doing God knows what.

Then I got home to find that McCain is the official nominee of the Dark Side.

Talk about an anti-climax.

Why I Did Not Vote For Hillary Clinton

I have to say, this primary season in Texas has been unlike no other in my memory. I have never seen such vitriol spewed about one candidate or the other – from people in their own party – than I have this time. It makes me a little uneasy that after having spent weeks working themselves into such a fever, whether some partisans will be able to find closure and regroup for our all out united assault on the White House this fall.

For this and a couple of other reasons, I have stayed away from making any criticism of Hillary Clinton as a candidate or as a possible president. I think it is counter-productive and doesn’t serve the party. Best, I told myself, to celebrate the positive features of Barack Obama than being negative over Hillary Clinton, who is someone I do respect. But here on election eve, maybe it is time for me to come clean and say what is bothering me: what it is about Hillary Clinton’s campaign that prevented me from supporting her.

First, I think I mentioned this before when I switched my allegiance from John Edwards, who bowed out of the race before Super Tuesday, to Barack Obama. The one constant that I found in either Edwards or Obama was their steadfast refusal to accept campaign contributions from lobbyists and PACs. I found their positions laudable and a promise that maybe an Edwards or an Obama presidency would be one where the people weren’t left out of the equation. Where lobbyists and corporations don’t have the first and last word on what is to be.

I didn’t see that in Hillary Clinton’s candidacy. In fact, Clinton made no bones about the fact that she would not refuse corporate PAC money or contributions from lobbyists. In fact, these contributions made up the core of her monetary support. In my mind I cannot erase the one movie scene that I saw last year when I drove into Houston to see one of the few screenings of Michael Moore’s film, “Sicko”. The scene where Moore superimposed the dollar figures given by the Health Insurance lobbies to influential DC legislators on their moving images. This included the figures given to well-known and now discredited legislators like Tom DeLay and Rick Santorum. Only one of the dollar amounts given to these individuals, overshadowed that given to Hillary Clinton by the health care industry organizations. The self same organizations that she fought a fierce battle against during her campaign to bring health insurance to all Americans during her husband’s presidency. Only Senator Rick Santorum received more than Clinton.

Well, you tell yourself that politics make strange bedfellows, and who is your enemy one day is your friend the next. I couldn’t live like that, but on the other hand, I am not running for president.

So is it an integrity issue or just an issue of political convenience? You tell me.

Now here is the other issue that I have with the Clinton campaign. It has been nagging at me for several months now and I just couldn’t put a finger on it. Then all of a sudden I had to ask myself: if Hillary Rodham Clinton is 61, and she says that she is, and she has claimed that the main thing that she brings to the race is her 35 years of experience, indeed comparing her experience with Barack Obama’s, and finding his lacking, I had to start doing some math. The math says that Hillary Clinton embarked on her career of public service right after getting out of law school. Indeed it was during her post-graduate studies that Hillary Rodham worked for the Children’s Defense Fund, a public service that is listed in her vitae. That and a stint on the staff of the House Judiciary committee in the early 70’s was the sum total of her post law school service. The next 5 years she spent in various capacities doing legal aid work. After that it becomes hazy where she was a mother, where she worked for law firms (private practice, not public service) where she was a wife, a first lady of Arkansas, then of the United States, and finally, when she landed her job as a US Senator from New York.

My point is, and I am not the only one to point this out, I don’t think that the Clinton campaign is being completely forthright with this “35 years of experience” stuff. Yes, it has been 35 years since she has been out of school, but that is the extent of it – 35 years-wise.

Truthfully, I have a problem with this exaggeration. I know that the other campaigns have been giving her a pass on this issue for some reason, but when you start hearing the same old saw, over and over, and no one steps up to challenge its veracity, you start to wonder.

That, in the end is why I don’t give Hillary Clinton a pass on the “35 years of experience” thing. The Obama campaign has, and so have all of the other campaigns that have since gone by the wayside. It is an excellent strategy to present oneself against a much younger competitor, but it just doesn’t translate into the fall.

So why didn’t I vote for Hillary Clinton?

In the fall, Democrats will win the White House, I am sure of it. I didn’t vote for Hillary Clinton because I want my president to focus on the people, not the corporations. In this, actions speak louder than words. And I want my president to be forthright with the people and set tendencies to exaggerate aside.

That’s why.

Fred McMurrey To Get An Obama Bounce?

I keep forgetting. Ray, His name is Ray. Ray is one of the three other guys who is running for the Democratic nomination for one of Texas’ two US Senate seats. I’ve been having a little fun with all their names because . . . it’s fun. Even my guy, Rick Noriega, has not escaped my “Name Game”.

It’s all been about Gene Kelly, though.

Recently a Noriega campaign spokesperson announced that they were fully expecting a runoff election in this race. From the Austin American Statesman:

“We fully expect to be in a runoff just because of the huge surge in voters,” Lake said. “The number of new voters coming out who have never voted in primaries before, don't know us, and the number of candidates running” are all factors feeding a runoff, she said.

I can see that. Rick has had only a precious few months to introduce himself to Texas’ Democratic voters, and with so many going to the polls in this primary, impelled mainly by the presidential primary, there are going to be a few uninformed people who, rather than leave a vote blank, look for a likely name to put a check against.

Gene Kelly has played that game before when, by virtue of the fact that his name is identical to that world-famous (and now dead) singer/hoofer/actor, you know . . . Gene Kelly, caused a Democratic runoff in the US Senate race in 2006.

But this year Gene has some competition.

That competition will be from Fred McMurrey . . . er . . .Ray. It won’t be huge – only limited to one county precinct in Fort Bend County, but sure as not, some people who go to the polls to vote for Barack Obama may also cast their votes for McMurrey.

I cite this anecdote, as told to me tonight by my friend Charles.

It seems that he and several others were talking to voters as they were leaving the polls. One of them was running as a Republican for Precinct 1 Constable. His name is James Murray. Mr. Murray was speaking with a couple that had just left, and asked them if they voted for him. “Yes,” they exclaimed, “We did, right there after we voted for Obama.” “No,” Murray explained. “You couldn’t have voted for me, I’m on the other ballot.” But the couple swore up and down that they had voted for Murray, and left.

Leaving the rest of them scratching their heads.

So when Ray and his campaign manager are checking their numbers on Wednesday, and see a little blip in their numbers from Fort Bend County precincts with numbers beginning with “1”, that’s why.

Ray got an Obama Bounce.

O-Ba-MA . . .O-Ba-MA. . . O-Ba-MA. . . O-Ba-MA

“We are the ones we’ve been waiting for.”

John Cornyn Robo-Calling For McCain

Guess who just called me? Texas Senator John Cornyn. My first thought was that he was calling about his own re-election campaign, but that thought flew out the door very quickly as he announced his true intention: to ask me to vote for his best friend forever, John McCain.

John McCain? Cornyn? Is this the same John McCain who uttered the most offensive curse word in the English language in the general direction of Cornyn last year? Last May when Cornyn jumped off the Bush/McCain immigration bandwagon?

Starts with F, rhymes with “Huck” (abee) and is usually (and was, in this case) followed by a “You” for good measure.

Well, it follows, I guess, when the race has dwindled to two contenders, the winner and Mike Huckabee, that Cornyn would have to endorse someone. And why not endorse his BFF John McCain, if only because Mitt Romney announced his pull-out from the race a mere two hours before.

Well, I guess Cornyn has gotten over that word. That and being called, in the same exchange, the fecal production of a chicken.

You really do have to hand it to John Cornyn. He really knows how to choose his friends.

Texas Early Voting Ends With A Democratic Turnout Rout

I’ve been keeping a tally on my original piece that I posted on the day I showed up for Early Voting here in Fort bend County, on the second day.

I have two important tips on early voting: 1) Never show up to early vote on the first day. They are just starting up and getting the cobwebs swept off the voting machines, and they need a day to get into the rhythm. 2) Never show up to early vote on the last day. Yes, they have a smoothly oiled machine in place now, but now you have to contend with lines that, while looking reasonable compared to Election Day lines, are still pretty long.

Here are the Fort Bend County early voting stats that I kept adding to for the past 11 days:

Democrats on Tuesday 2/19: 1710

Democrats on Wednesday 2/20: 1515
Democrats on Thursday 2/21: 1827
Democrats on Friday 2/22: 2511
Democrats on Saturday 2/23: 4139
Democrats on Sunday 2/24: 1644
Democrats on Monday 2/25: 2786
Democrats on Tuesday 2/26: 3067
Democrats on Wednesday 2/27: 3319
Democrats on Thursday 2/28: 4421
Democrats on Friday 2/29: 7448

Total Democrats voting in 2008 primary: 34,387
% total Democratic turnout increase over 2004 presidential primary 1634%
Democrat to Republican ratio: 2.40: 1

Did you see that second-to-last statistic? More than 16 times as many people came out to early voting in the Democratic primary than came out for the early voting in the last presidential primary in 2004.

But wait, there’s more. The 2004 Democratic primary drew a total of 10,689 voters to the polls that year. This is exceeded by the 2008 Early Vote alone, by over 300% (321.7% to be exact).

These voting trends are simply following what has become a statewide phenomenon. Not only are record numbers of “November voters” showing up to vote in the primary, but they outnumber Republican voters by anywhere between 2 to 1 and 4 to 1. Even in heavily Republican counties.

Both the Clinton and Obama Democratic campaigns are taking credit for the huge numbers of early voters. Rally goers were being told by both candidates to go and vote early to avoid long lines.

Well, OK, some of that has to be crossover voting. Some of it is from Independents and Republicans who are simply fed up with their party or uninspired by the candidates running for office. Then there are people like the Republicans for Obama organization who see Obama as the clear choice between Democrat and Republican candidates. And then some of it is most definitely Anti-Hillary Clinton crossover voting. The logic for this given to me is that they don’t want to have a McCain/Clinton election in November, where there is a risk of another Clinton presidency. These are Republicans who have resigned themselves to a Democratic victory in the fall, and simply don’t want that Democrat to be Clinton.

But I’ve said this before and I’ll say it again, only if this election is a real squeaker will these latter crossover votes really count for anything. In New York, which has a closed primary, 1,891,000 Democratic voters registered their votes in 2008 as opposed to 720,000 in the 2004 presidential primary. So in that closed primary, where only registered Democrats vote, 2008 voter turnout was 260% of what it was in 2004. Delaware had a 285% voter turnout jump between their 2004 and 2008 primaries. Both of these states are “Super Tuesday” states where the stakes were high, certainly, but not as high as they are now here in Texas.

So the question is, will we be able to maintain this 1600% jump in Democratic primary voters on March 4th? I actually doubt it. Mainly because if you do the numbers, that is a total that exceeds the registered voters in Fort Bend County.

I know, that is not unheard of here in wild and wooly Texas, where hundreds of registered voters still vote in Alpine County, despite the fact that they are dead.

Hey you know? It just hit me why we have precinct conventions here in Texas (unless Hillary Clinton’s campaign succeeds in putting a stop to them in court). Dead people have a little trouble making it to precinct conventions, let alone signing their names.