I keep watching the polls as we go down to the final days
before Election Day. Starting tomorrow more states than ever will have opened
their Early Voting polls and I hear that people are going to be early voting in
more numbers than ever.
Barack Obama is the first US president in history to early
vote.
And now they even have exit polls from early voting.
But early voters have been typically motivated voters and
not ones who go to the polls early out of convenience – the whole reason for
early voting in the beginning.
But where you have to start paying attention is at the local
polling in the swing states because nationally it is either a toss-up or a
Romney win. It could just be that we will have another election victory at the
Electoral College.
Here are the national polls as of today:
- Gallup: Romney in +5
- Rassmussen: Romney in +3
- ABC/WaPo: Romney in +1
- IBD/TIPP: Obama in +2
In the popular vote, advantage goes to Romney.
But the swing state polls are probably more important to
watch now because the first one to get to 270 electoral votes gets the Oval
Office no matter what the popular vote looks like.
Just ask Al Gore or Thomas Dewey about winning a popular
vote, but losing the election.
- Ohio: Obama at +4, +2 and +2.
- Colorado: Obama +1
- Iowa: +4
- Nevada: +3
- New Hampshire: +1
Romney apparently has Florida and North Carolina.
Now I’ve seen the scenarios, even ones where the election is
thrown to the House. But the thing I am now wondering about is whether the
Electoral College will pick our next president this time – as it does most every
time, but this time Obama may not get the popular vote. I am steeling myself
for this possibility but in the end, what does it matter. Republicans will no
longer have to worry about Obama getting another term in office. Maybe only
then will they be able to stop all of their nonsense and get back to work
getting our country back on its economic feet.
Unless of course, they are truly as depraved as we all have
come to suspect.
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